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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
China's grave demographic challenges in coming decades. | |
Ren Q; Zheng X; Lutz W; Scherbov S | |
发表日期 | 2009 |
出处 | China Economist 3: 92-103. |
出版年 | 2009 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper systematically analyzes the uncertainties of major demographic indicators from China's 2000 census, such as fertility, gender ratio at birth, and age structure, and through a probability demographic forecast gives an assessment of the situation facing the country. Research outcomes suggest that great differences exist in the estimate of China's fertility, gender ratio at birth and low-age child population. These differences directly affect China's current and future demographic uncertainties, and have implications for policy and future research. The demographic uncertainties caused by current conditions are of great value to decision-makers and the public alike. |
主题 | World Population (POP) |
关键词 | Uncertainty Demographic trend Demographic probability forecast |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8811/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/128923 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ren Q,Zheng X,Lutz W,et al. China's grave demographic challenges in coming decades.. 2009. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
XJ-09-107.pdf(2899KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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