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China's grave demographic challenges in coming decades.
Ren Q; Zheng X; Lutz W; Scherbov S
发表日期2009
出处China Economist 3: 92-103.
出版年2009
语种英语
摘要This paper systematically analyzes the uncertainties of major demographic indicators from China's 2000 census, such as fertility, gender ratio at birth, and age structure, and through a probability demographic forecast gives an assessment of the situation facing the country. Research outcomes suggest that great differences exist in the estimate of China's fertility, gender ratio at birth and low-age child population. These differences directly affect China's current and future demographic uncertainties, and have implications for policy and future research. The demographic uncertainties caused by current conditions are of great value to decision-makers and the public alike.
主题World Population (POP)
关键词Uncertainty Demographic trend Demographic probability forecast
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8811/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/128923
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ren Q,Zheng X,Lutz W,et al. China's grave demographic challenges in coming decades.. 2009.
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