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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1007/s10559-008-9002-3 |
Catastrophe risk management for sustainable development of regions under risks of natural disasters. | |
Ermolieva TY; Sergienko IV | |
发表日期 | 2008 |
出处 | Cybernetics and Systems Analysis 44 (3): 1-13 |
出版年 | 2008 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | The paper considers models and approaches to the analysis and decision making under catastrophic risks. It is shown that the design of optimal robust strategies for the flood risk management can be approached as a stochastic spatially explicit optimization problem combining the goals and constraints of various agents such as producers, farmers, individuals, governments, insurers, reinsurers, and investors. The approach is illustrated with a case study on catastrophic flood risks, which shows the importance of an appropriate combination of ex-ante and ex-post structural and financial measures. |
主题 | Greenhouse Gas Initiative (GGI) ; Modeling Land-Use and Land-Cover Changes (LUC) |
关键词 | catastrophe risk insurance stochastic optimization adaptive Monte Carlo method probabilistic constraints sustainable development |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8595/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/128871 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ermolieva TY,Sergienko IV. Catastrophe risk management for sustainable development of regions under risks of natural disasters.. 2008. |
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