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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1073/pnas.0710616105
Global cost estimates of reducing carbon emissions through avoided deforestation.
Kindermann G; Obersteiner M; Sohngen B; Sathaye J; Andrasko K; Rametsteiner E; Schlamadinger B; Wunder S
发表日期2008
出处Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 105 (30): 10302-10307
出版年2008
语种英语
摘要Tropical deforestation is estimated to cause about one-quarter of anthropogenic carbon emissions, loss of biodiversity, and other environmental services. United Nations Framework Convention for Climate Change talks are now considering mechanisms for avoiding deforestation (AD), but the economic potential of AD has yet to be addressed. We use three economic models of global land use and management to analyze the potential contribution of AD activities to reduced greenhouse gas emissions. AD activities are found to be a competitive, low-cost abatement option. A program providing a 10% reduction in deforestation from 2005 to 2030 could provide 0.3-0.6 Gt (1 Gt = 1 x 10^5 g) CO2/yr in emission reductions and would require $0.4 billion/yr to $1.7 billion/yr for 30 years. A 50% reduction in deforestation from 2005 to 2030 could provide 1.5-2.7 Gt CO2/yr in emission reductions and would require $17.2 billion/yr to $28.0 billion/yr. Finally, some caveats to the analysis that could increase costs of AD programs are described.
主题Forestry (FOR)
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8580/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/128744
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Kindermann G,Obersteiner M,Sohngen B,et al. Global cost estimates of reducing carbon emissions through avoided deforestation.. 2008.
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