| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1002/(SICI)1099-1727(199822/23)14:2/3<129::AID-SDR146>3.0.CO; 2-6 |
| Threats to sustainability: Simulating conflict within and between nations. | |
| Wils AB; Kamiya M; Choucri N | |
| 发表日期 | 1998 |
| 出处 | System Dynamics Review 14 (2): 129-162 |
| 出版年 | 1998 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Violent conflict is increasingly viewed as a factor related to sustainable development. This article argues, based on the well-established theory of lateral pressure originally proposed by Choucri and North in 1975, that the relationship arises because the same factors that affect sustainable development also influence conflict, namely population, technology, resources, military force, and trade and bargaining, while conflict, in turn, affects these variables. The theory is tested with a system dynamics model that includes international as well as domestic violent conflict, calibrated to seven countries in southern Africa and six OECD countries. The results show a number of situations in which conflict is perpetuated in a cycle that is difficult to break. |
| 主题 | World Population (POP) |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/5357/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/127715 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wils AB,Kamiya M,Choucri N. Threats to sustainability: Simulating conflict within and between nations.. 1998. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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