| 来源类型 | Monograph (IIASA Interim Report)
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| 规范类型 | 报告
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| A forward looking age based on longevity expectations. |
| Aktas A; Sanderson WC
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| 发表日期 | 2015
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| 出版者 | IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-15-016
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| 出版年 | 2015
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| 语种 | 英语
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| 摘要 | Many personal decisions are shaped by people's expectations of the future, but these expectations are rarely included in the study of those decisions. Often, studies that analyze these forward-looking decisions use chronological age, an inherently backward-looking measure, as a proxy for those expectations. In this paper, we use a two part methodology to compute a forward-looking age which is based on data of longevity expectations collected in the Health and Retirement Study (HRS). In the first part, we propose a method to translate those expectations into life tables. In the second part, those life tables are used to produce forward-looking ages that can be used in the study of forward-looking decisions. We find that education has a great effect on subjective life expectancy, therefore on forward-looking age. Also, we observe that at any given education level, the forward-looking age of the younger cohort is always greater than or equal to the forward-looking age of the older cohort. Finally, the difference between forward-looking age chronological age is increasing as individuals get older, but the speed of this change varies depending on education level, cohort and health-related conditions. |
| 主题 | World Population (POP)
; Young Scientists Summer Program (YSSP)
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| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11673/
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| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
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| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/126018
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Aktas A,Sanderson WC. A forward looking age based on longevity expectations.. 2015.
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文件名：
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IR-15-016.pdf
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格式：
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Adobe PDF
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