G2TT
来源类型Monograph (IIASA Interim Report)
规范类型报告
Timing and propagule size of invasion determine its success by a time-varying threshold of demographic regime shift.
Yamamichi M; Yoshida T; Sasaki A
发表日期2013
出版者IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-13-076
出版年2013
语种英语
摘要Theory of invasion ecology indicates that the number of invading individuals (propagule size) and the timing of invasion are important for invasion success. Propagule size affects establishment success due to an Allee effect and the effect of demographic stochasticity, whereas the timing of invasion does so via niche opportunity produced by fluctuating predation pressure and resource abundance. We propose a synthesis of these two mechanisms by a time-varying dose-response curve where the dose is propagule size and the response is establishment probability. We show an example of the synthesis in a simple predator-prey model where successful invasion occurs as a demographic regime shift because of the bistability of the system. The two mechanisms are not independent, but simultaneously determine invasion success in our model. We found that positive growth rate of an invading species does not ensure its establishment, especially when its propagule size is small or when its growth rate is in a decreasing trend. We suggest the difficulty of understanding invasion process based on a dose-response curve of propagule size as no unique curve can be determined due to the effects of invasion timing (i.e. the threshold of demographic regime shift is time-varying). The results of our model analysis also have an implication on the phase relationship between population cycles of predators and prey.
主题Evolution and Ecology (EEP)
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10691/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/125917
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Yamamichi M,Yoshida T,Sasaki A. Timing and propagule size of invasion determine its success by a time-varying threshold of demographic regime shift.. 2013.
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