| 来源类型 | Monograph (IIASA Research Memorandum) |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| Bayesian Analysis of the Ricker Stock-Recruitment Model. | |
| Wood EF | |
| 发表日期 | 1975 |
| 出版者 | IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RM-75-065 |
| 出版年 | 1975 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Bayesian statistics were applied to analyze the Ricker stock-recruitment model. This model is used for salmon fishery management and predicts the resulting recruits for a specified level of spawners. The Ricker model is transformed into a linear regression form, and the uncertainty in the model parameters and the "noise" of the model are calculated using Bayesian regression analysis. Application to the Skeena River Sockeye fishing with 67 years of data showed that parameter uncertainty was much less than model noise, thus putting in question the applicability of the Ricker model for management decisions. The analysis is extended to experimentation on the "optimal" spawning level, non-stationarity of the fishery, and model uncertainty. |
| 主题 | Resources and Environment Area (REN) |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/451/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/120914 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wood EF. Bayesian Analysis of the Ricker Stock-Recruitment Model.. 1975. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| RM-75-065.pdf（449KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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