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来源类型External Publications
规范类型其他
Towards demand-side solutions for mitigating climate change
Creutzig; Felix & Roy; Joyashree & Lamb; William & M. L. Azevedo; Inês & Bruine de Bruin; Wändi & Dalkmann; Holger & Edelenbosch; Oreane & Geels; Frank & Grubler; Arnulf & Hepburn; Cameron & Hertwich; Edgar & Khosla; Radhika & Mattauch; Linus & Minx; Jan
发表日期2018
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要The 2015 Paris Agreement calls for countries to pursue efforts to limit global-mean temperature rise to 1.5 °C. The transition pathways that can meet such a target have not, however, been extensively explored. Here we describe scenarios that limit end-of-century radiative forcing to 1.9 W m−2, and consequently restrict median warming in the year 2100 to below 1.5 °C. We use six integrated assessment models and a simple climate model, under different socio-economic, technological and resource assumptions from five Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs). Some, but not all, SSPs are amenable to pathways to 1.5 °C. Successful 1.9 W m−2 scenarios are characterized by a rapid shift away from traditional fossil-fuel use towards large-scale low-carbon energy supplies, reduced energy use, and carbon-dioxide removal. However, 1.9 W m−2 scenarios could not be achieved in several models under SSPs with strong inequalities, high baseline fossil-fuel use, or scattered short-term climate policy. Further research can help policy-makers to understand the real-world implications of these scenarios.
URLhttps://www.feem.it/en/publications/external-publications/towards-demand-side-solutions-for-mitigating-climate-change/
来源智库Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/118753
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Creutzig,Felix & Roy,Joyashree & Lamb,et al. Towards demand-side solutions for mitigating climate change. 2018.
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