全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Energy Access Scenarios to 2030 for the Power Sector in Sub-Saharan Africa

G2TT

来源类型	FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series
规范类型	论文
	Energy Access Scenarios to 2030 for the Power Sector in Sub-Saharan Africa
	Morgan Bazilian; Patrick Nussbaumer; Hans-Holger Rogner; Abeeku Brew-Hammond; Vivien Foster; Shonali Pachauri; Eric Williams; Mark Howells; Philippe Niyongabo; Lawrence Musaba; Brian Ó Gallachóir; Mark Radka; Daniel M. Kammen
发表日期	2011
出处	Energy: Resources and Markets
出版年	2011
语种	英语
摘要	In order to reach a goal of universal access to modern energy services in Africa by 2030, consideration of various electricity sector pathways is required to help inform policy-makers and investors, and help guide power system design. To that end, and building on existing tools and analysis, we present several ‘high-level’, transparent, and economy-wide scenarios for the sub-Saharan African power sector to 2030. We construct these simple scenarios against the backdrop of historical trends and various interpretations of universal access. They are designed to provide the international community with an indication of the overall scale of the effort required. We find that most existing projections, using typical long-term forecasting methods for power planning, show roughly a threefold increase in installed generation capacity occurring by 2030, but more than a tenfold increase would likely be required to provide for full access – even at relatively modest levels of electricity consumption. This equates to approximately a 13% average annual growth rate, compared to a historical one (in the last two decades) of 1.7%.
特色分类	C1;Q41;Q47
关键词	Energy Access Power System Planning Sub-Saharan Africa
URL	https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/energy-access-scenarios-to-2030-for-the-power-sector-in-sub-saharan-africa/
来源智库	Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/117999
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Morgan Bazilian,Patrick Nussbaumer,Hans-Holger Rogner,et al. Energy Access Scenarios to 2030 for the Power Sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. 2011.

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文件名称/大小	资源类型	版本类型	开放类型	使用许可
201191293461Nota_di_（71KB）	智库出版物		限制开放	CC BY-NC-SA	浏览
2011912934264NDL2011（673KB）	智库出版物		限制开放	CC BY-NC-SA	浏览