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来源类型 | FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series |
规范类型 | 论文 |
Uncertainty in Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change: Alternative Analytical Approaches | |
Alexander Golub; Daiju Narita; Matthias G.W. Schmidt | |
发表日期 | 2011 |
出处 | Climate Change and Sustainable Development |
出版年 | 2011 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Uncertainty plays a key role in the economics of climate change, and the discussions surrounding its implications for climate policy are far from settled. We give an overview of the literature on uncertainty in integrated assessment models of climate change and identify some future research needs. In the paper, we pay particular attention to three different and complementary approaches that model uncertainty in association with integrated assessment models: the discrete uncertainty modeling, the most common way to incorporate uncertainty in complex climate-economy models: the real options analysis, a simplified way to identify and value flexibility: the continuous-time stochastic dynamic programming, which is computationally most challenging but necessary if persistent stochasticity is considered. |
特色分类 | D81;Q54;C61 |
关键词 | Uncertainty Learning Economics of Climate Change Integrated Assessment Models Real Options |
URL | https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/uncertainty-in-integrated-assessment-models-of-climate-change-alternative-analytical-approaches/ |
来源智库 | Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/117923 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Alexander Golub,Daiju Narita,Matthias G.W. Schmidt. Uncertainty in Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change: Alternative Analytical Approaches. 2011. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
2011117101351Nota_di(71KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
2011117101474NDL2011(392KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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