| 来源类型 | FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| Impact of Revised CO2 Growth Projections for China on Global Stabilization Goals | |
| Geoffrey J. Blanford; Richard G. Richels; Thomas F. Rutherford | |
| 发表日期 | 2008 |
| 出处 | Climate Change and Sustainable Development |
| 出版年 | 2008 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Recent growth in carbon dioxide emissions from China's energy sector has exceeded expectations. In a major US government study of future emissions released in 2007 (1), participating models appear to have substantially underestimated the near-term rate of increase in China's emissions. We present a recalibration of one of those models to be consistent with both current observations and historical development patterns. The implications of the new specification for the feasibility of commonly discussed stabilization targets, particularly when considering incomplete global participation, are profound. Unless China's emissions begin to depart soon from their (newly projected) business-as-usual path, stringent stabilization goals may be unattainable. The current round of global policy negotiations must engage China and other developing countries, not to the exclusion of emissions reductions in the developed world and possibly with the help of significant financial incentives, if such goals are to be achieved. It is in all nations' interests to work cooperatively to limit our interference with the global climate. |
| 特色分类 | Q48,H23,O13 |
| 关键词 | Energy-Economy Modeling,China,Economic Growth Rates,Energy Intensity,International Climate Policy |
| URL | https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/impact-of-revised-co2-growth-projections-for-china-on-global-stabilization-goals/ |
| 来源智库 | Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/117593 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Geoffrey J. Blanford,Richard G. Richels,Thomas F. Rutherford. Impact of Revised CO2 Growth Projections for China on Global Stabilization Goals. 2008. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| NDL2008-068.pdf（414KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
