| 来源类型 | FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| Induced Technological Change in a Limited Foresight Optimization Model | |
| Fredrik Hedenus; Christian Azar; Kristian Lindgren | |
| 发表日期 | 2005 |
| 出处 | Climate Change and Sustainable Development |
| 出版年 | 2005 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The threat of global warming calls for a major transformation of the energy system the coming century. Modeling technological change is an important factor in energy systems modeling. Technological change may be treated as induced by climate policy or as exogenous. We investigate the importance of induced technological change (ITC) in GET-LFL, an iterative optimization model with limited foresight that includes learning-by-doing. Scenarios for stabilization of atmospheric CO2 concentrations at 400, 450, 500 and 550 ppm are studied. We find that the introduction of ITC reduces the total net present value of the abatement cost over this century by 3-9% compared to a case where technological learning is exogenous. Technology specific polices which force the introduction of fuel cell cars and solar PV in combination with ITC reduce the costs further by 4-7% and lead to significantly different technological solutions in different sectors, primarily in the transport sector. |
| 特色分类 | O33 |
| 关键词 | Energy system model,Limited foresight,Climate policy,Endougenous learning,Technological lock-in |
| URL | https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/induced-technological-change-in-a-limited-foresight-optimization-model/ |
| 来源智库 | Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/117237 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Fredrik Hedenus,Christian Azar,Kristian Lindgren. Induced Technological Change in a Limited Foresight Optimization Model. 2005. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| NDL2005-125.pdf（772KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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