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来源类型 | Perspectives |
规范类型 | 论文 |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.7249/PE185 |
来源ID | PE-185-DIA |
Israel's Interests and Options in Syria | |
Larry Hanauer | |
发表日期 | 2016 |
出版年 | 2016 |
语种 | 英语 |
结论 | Israel Has Five Main Objectives in the Syrian Conflict
Israel Has Taken Action in Four Main Areas
Israel's Options Are Very Limited
|
摘要 | With little ability to affect the outcome of the Syrian civil war, and with limited interest in intervening in the conflict other than to pre-empt or respond to attacks on its territory, Israel seems to have been a passive actor in recent events shaping the Levant. But Israel does have critical security interests that it seeks to advance in Syria — principally, minimizing Iranian and Russian influence in Syria, blocking the transfer of advanced weapons to Hezbollah, preventing Syria from posing a credible military threat to Israel or permitting Iran to do so, undermining the legitimacy of Syria's claims to the Golan Heights, and preventing Sunni militants from establishing infrastructure or operational bases along Israel's border. Unless and until the Syrian conflict dramatically changes course, Israel's strategy will likely be to monitor events carefully, work with Moscow to minimize the chances of inadvertent conflict with Russia, and take as few direct actions as are necessary to protect Israel's territory and citizens. Given the unpalatability of the most-likely "resolutions" to the conflict, continued fighting in Syria — a situation in which these various parties continue to focus their fire on each other rather than on Israel — might be the most advantageous outcome for Israel. |
主题 | Global Security ; Iran ; The Islamic State (Terrorist Organization) ; Israel ; Russia ; Syria |
URL | https://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PE185.html |
来源智库 | RAND Corporation (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/112530 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Larry Hanauer. Israel's Interests and Options in Syria. 2016. |
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