全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Analysis to Inform Defense Planning Despite Austerity

G2TT

来源类型	Research Reports
规范类型	报告
ISBN	9780833085078
来源ID	RR-482-OSD
	Analysis to Inform Defense Planning Despite Austerity
	Paul K. Davis
发表日期	2014
出版年	2014
页码	198
语种	英语
摘要	Analysts should plan an "analysis campaign" with core themes of dealing with multiple objectives and confronting both deep uncertainties and disagreements. Options considered should be designed creatively and assessed for flexibility, adaptiveness, and robustness (FARness) while working within fiscal limitations. Assessing FARness should be part of the analyst's ethic and will go well beyond stating assumptions. The campaign should include a mix of relatively simple and more complex models, human gaming, historical and trend analysis, and collaboration with experienced operators. It should consider creative option development. Capabilities should be evaluated with a spanning set of test-case scenarios, rather than any single scenario. Multiple tests are needed even for a specific threat and more are needed to address the diversity of challenges. The test cases should be analytically developed to represent what policymakers intend and can afford. Using the test set should assure that subsequent planning throughout the organization will provide the desired capabilities and requisite flexibility, adaptiveness, and robustness.
主题	Assumption Based Planning ; Capabilities Based Planning ; Economic Analysis Methodology ; Military Force Planning ; Modeling and Simulation ; Operations Research ; Program Evaluation ; Robust Decision Making
URL	https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR482.html
来源智库	RAND Corporation (United States)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/107835
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Paul K. Davis. Analysis to Inform Defense Planning Despite Austerity. 2014.

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