G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w24835
来源IDWorking Paper 24835
Demography, Unemployment, Automation, and Digitalization: Implications for the Creation of (Decent) Jobs, 2010\u20132030
David E. Bloom; Mathew McKenna; Klaus Prettner
发表日期2018-07-23
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要Globally, an estimated 734 million jobs will be required between 2010 and 2030 to accommodate recent and ongoing demographic shifts, account for plausible changes in labour force participation rates, and achieve target unemployment rates of at or below 4 percent for adults and at or below 8 percent for youth. The facts that i) most new jobs will be required in countries where “decent” jobs are less prevalent and ii) workers in many occupations are increasingly subject to risks of automation further compound the challenge of job creation, which is already quite sizable in historical perspective. Failure to create the jobs that are needed through 2030 would put currently operative social security systems under pressure and undermine efforts to guarantee the national social protection floors enshrined in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
主题Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Labor Supply and Demand
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w24835
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582509
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David E. Bloom,Mathew McKenna,Klaus Prettner. Demography, Unemployment, Automation, and Digitalization: Implications for the Creation of (Decent) Jobs, 2010\u20132030. 2018.
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