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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w24835 |
来源ID | Working Paper 24835 |
Demography, Unemployment, Automation, and Digitalization: Implications for the Creation of (Decent) Jobs, 2010\u20132030 | |
David E. Bloom; Mathew McKenna; Klaus Prettner | |
发表日期 | 2018-07-23 |
出版年 | 2018 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Globally, an estimated 734 million jobs will be required between 2010 and 2030 to accommodate recent and ongoing demographic shifts, account for plausible changes in labour force participation rates, and achieve target unemployment rates of at or below 4 percent for adults and at or below 8 percent for youth. The facts that i) most new jobs will be required in countries where “decent” jobs are less prevalent and ii) workers in many occupations are increasingly subject to risks of automation further compound the challenge of job creation, which is already quite sizable in historical perspective. Failure to create the jobs that are needed through 2030 would put currently operative social security systems under pressure and undermine efforts to guarantee the national social protection floors enshrined in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). |
主题 | Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Labor Supply and Demand |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w24835 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582509 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | David E. Bloom,Mathew McKenna,Klaus Prettner. Demography, Unemployment, Automation, and Digitalization: Implications for the Creation of (Decent) Jobs, 2010\u20132030. 2018. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w24835.pdf(316KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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