G2TT
来源类型Chatham House Briefing
规范类型简报
Edible Oil: Food Security in the Gulf
Rob Bailey; Robin Willoughby
发表日期2013-11-01
出版年2013
语种英语
摘要
  • Sustainable food self-sufficiency is unattainable for the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). Domestic production meets only a small proportion of needs, yet consumes significant economic resources and almost monopolizes water use.

  • GCC food security rests on international trade, leaving countries exposed to price risk (relating to volatility of import prices) and supply risk (relating to import disruption).

  • Recent events such as the 2011 Arab uprisings, continued instability in Egypt and Syria, threats by Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz and repeated spikes in international food prices have sharpened these risks.

  • The worst-case scenario is conflict in the wider Middle East and North Africa region that disrupts multiple import routes for a sustained period. GCC governments can hedge supply risks through strategic storage and investments in port and rail infrastructure to create a regional import and transport network.

  • Land-based investments in food-insecure countries with weak governance and poor rural infrastructure do little to manage price or supply risk. Overseas investments are better targeted at existing farm operations in key trade partners.

  • GCC resource wealth mitigates price risk. In the long run, the ability of governments to manage price risk will depend upon successful economic diversification.
主题Managing Global Resources ; Agriculture and Food Trade
区域Middle East and North Africa ; Gulf States
URLhttps://www.chathamhouse.org/publications/papers/view/195630
来源智库Chatham House (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/49350
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Rob Bailey,Robin Willoughby. Edible Oil: Food Security in the Gulf. 2013.
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