G2TT
来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1080/14693062.2011.637818
National GHG emissions reduction pledges and 2 degrees C: Comparison of studies.
Hoehne N; Taylor C; Elias R; den Elzen M; Riahi K; Chen C; Rogelj J; Grassi G
发表日期2012
出处Climate Policy 12 (3): 356-377
出版年2012
语种英语
摘要This article provides further detail on expected global GHG emission levels in 2020, based on the Emissions Gap Report (United Nations Environment Programme, December 2010), assuming the emission reduction proposals in the Copenhagen Accord and Cancun Agreements are met. Large differences are found in the results of individual groups owing to uncertainties in current and projected emission estimates and in the interpretation of the reduction proposals. Regardless of these uncertainties, the pledges for 2020 are expected to deliver emission levels above those that are consistent with a 2 degrees C limit. This emissions gap could be narrowed through implementing the more stringent conditional pledges, minimizing the use of "lenient" credits from forests and surplus emission units, avoiding double-counting of offsets and implementing measures beyond current pledges. Conversely, emission reduction gains from countries moving from their low to high ambition pledges could be more than offset by the use of lenient land use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF) credits and surplus emissions units, if these were used to the maximum. Laying the groundwork for faster emission reduction rates after 2020 appears to be crucial in any case.
主题Energy (ENE) ; Mitigation of Air Pollution (MAG) ; Transitions to New Technologies (TNT) ; Air Quality & ; Greenhouse Gases (AIR)
关键词Emissions reduction GHG emissions International negotiations LULUCF Stabilization scenarios
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10009/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129425
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GB/T 7714
Hoehne N,Taylor C,Elias R,et al. National GHG emissions reduction pledges and 2 degrees C: Comparison of studies.. 2012.
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